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Application of probabilistic forecasting in flood incident management

Posted on: 11 September 2013
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This guide illustrates a number simple methods which could be used to support clear, consistent, and objective decisions when using probabilistic forecasts. The report highlights that decision-making during flooding incidents is a dynamic process, and the researchers developed a framework to aid such decision-making with probabilistic forecasts. The framework is illustrated with case studies and is intended for use by practitioners and researchers. It will help inform the future direction of probabilistic flood forecasting as part wider developments in flood incident management.

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